American Express Stock Performance
| AXP Stock | USD 354.70 1.03 0.29% |
The firm shows a Beta (market volatility) of 1.46, which signifies a somewhat significant risk relative to the market. As the market goes up, the company is expected to outperform it. However, if the market returns are negative, American Express will likely underperform. At this point, American Express has a negative expected return of -0.0527%. Please make sure to confirm American Express' total risk alpha, as well as the relationship between the skewness and day median price , to decide if American Express performance from the past will be repeated at some point in the near future.
Risk-Adjusted Performance
Weakest
Weak | Strong |
Over the last 90 days American Express has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. Even with relatively invariable basic indicators, American Express is not utilizing all of its potentials. The current stock price agitation, may contribute to short-term losses for the retail investors. ...more
Actual Historical Performance (%)
One Day Return 1.16 | Five Day Return (0.37) | Year To Date Return (5.11) | Ten Year Return 550.37 | All Time Return 10.4 K |
Forward Dividend Yield 0.0094 | Payout Ratio | Forward Dividend Rate 3.28 | Dividend Date 2026-02-10 | Ex Dividend Date 2026-01-02 |
| American Express dividend paid on 10th of November 2025 | 11/10/2025 |
1 | Itll Be Weird, If They Go After American Express CEO, Says Jim Cramer | 01/16/2026 |
2 | American Express Declines More Than Market Some Information for Investors | 01/20/2026 |
3 | Stock market today Dow, SP 500, Nasdaq futures rise as Tesla, Meta, Microsoft diverge after earnings | 01/28/2026 |
4 | Stock market today Dow, SP 500, Nasdaq futures slide as Wall Street eyes Warsh as Trumps Fed pick | 01/29/2026 |
5 | American Express expects 910 percent revenue growth and EPS of 17.3017.90 for 2026 while expanding premium product investments | 01/30/2026 |
6 | American Express Tightens Lounge Access And Plans New World Trade Center Move | 02/02/2026 |
7 | First Trust Consumer Discretionary AlphaDEX Fund Short Interest Update | 02/03/2026 |
| Begin Period Cash Flow | 46.6 B | |
| Total Cashflows From Investing Activities | -24.4 B |
American Express Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape
If you would invest 36,772 in American Express on November 7, 2025 and sell it today you would lose (1,405) from holding American Express or give up 3.82% of portfolio value over 90 days. American Express is generating negative expected returns assuming volatility of 1.5731% on return distribution over 90 days investment horizon. In other words, 14% of stocks are less volatile than American, and above 99% of all equities are expected to generate higher returns over the next 90 days. Expected Return |
| Risk |
American Express Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price
The tendency of American Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move above the current price in 90 days |
| 354.70 | 90 days | 354.70 | about 82.88 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of American Express to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 82.88 (This American Express probability density function shows the probability of American Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
American Express Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for American Express
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as American Express. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of American Express' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
American Express Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. American Express is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the American Express' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold American Express, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of American Express within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.1 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 1.46 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 11.10 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.05 |
American Express Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of American Express for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for American Express can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| American Express generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| About 65.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies | |
| Latest headline from thelincolnianonline.com: First Trust Consumer Discretionary AlphaDEX Fund Short Interest Update |
American Express Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of American Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential American Express' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. American Express' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 696 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 47.8 B |
American Express Fundamentals Growth
American Stock prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of American Express, and American Express fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on American Stock performance.
| Return On Equity | 0.34 | ||||
| Return On Asset | 0.0379 | ||||
| Profit Margin | 0.16 % | ||||
| Operating Margin | 0.18 % | ||||
| Current Valuation | 249.81 B | ||||
| Shares Outstanding | 686 M | ||||
| Price To Earning | 15.49 X | ||||
| Price To Book | 7.22 X | ||||
| Price To Sales | 3.60 X | ||||
| Revenue | 80.46 B | ||||
| Gross Profit | 39.52 B | ||||
| EBITDA | 16.6 B | ||||
| Net Income | 10.13 B | ||||
| Cash And Equivalents | 37.01 B | ||||
| Cash Per Share | 42.01 X | ||||
| Total Debt | 57.76 B | ||||
| Debt To Equity | 1.84 % | ||||
| Current Ratio | 1.62 X | ||||
| Book Value Per Share | 48.80 X | ||||
| Cash Flow From Operations | 14.05 B | ||||
| Earnings Per Share | 15.38 X | ||||
| Market Capitalization | 240.84 B | ||||
| Total Asset | 300.05 B | ||||
| Retained Earnings | 22.15 B | ||||
| Working Capital | 9.57 B | ||||
| Current Asset | 84.45 B | ||||
| Current Liabilities | 74.88 B | ||||
About American Express Performance
Assessing American Express' fundamental ratios provides investors with valuable insights into American Express' financial health and overall profitability. This information is crucial for making informed investment decisions. A high ROA would indicate that the American Express is effectively leveraging its assets and equity to generate significant profits, making it an appealing investment. Conversely, low Return on Assets could signal underlying management issues in assets and equity, indicating a necessity for operational refinements. Please also refer to our technical analysis and fundamental analysis pages.
| Last Reported | Projected for Next Year | ||
| Return On Tangible Assets | 0.04 | 0.02 | |
| Return On Capital Employed | 0.06 | 0.04 | |
| Return On Assets | 0.04 | 0.02 | |
| Return On Equity | 0.32 | 0.18 |
Things to note about American Express performance evaluation
Checking the ongoing alerts about American Express for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Stock alerts and notifications screener for American Express help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| American Express generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| About 65.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies | |
| Latest headline from thelincolnianonline.com: First Trust Consumer Discretionary AlphaDEX Fund Short Interest Update |
- Analyzing American Express' financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
- Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether American Express' stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
- Examining American Express' industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
- Evaluating American Express' management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of American Express' management team can help you assess the Company's leadership.
- Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of American Express' stock. These opinions can provide insight into American Express' potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
Additional Tools for American Stock Analysis
When running American Express' price analysis, check to measure American Express' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy American Express is operating at the current time. Most of American Express' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of American Express' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move American Express' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of American Express to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.